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Saturday, August 30, 2025

Bohannon-Beekman et al tag team

When you need a job done right, send in the women.
 
Continuing a riff I started with Cat Bohannon.


 
Let's begin here with Dr. Beekman.
…In essence, the human origin story is simple. More than 4 million years ago, our distant ancestors permanently swapped a life in the trees for one on two legs. Their skeletons changed, to make walking much easier and more efficient. Indeed, walking upright was a great innovation. It allowed our ancestors to literally walk out of their ancestral environment and start to explore the world. But nothing ever comes for free, and so the adaptations that made for efficient walkers also led to a series of problems—problems best addressed by forming strong social bonds. As with ants and bees, a social life requires some form of communication. Nothing too complicated initially—just enough to keep the group together. For a few million years, our human family expanded and spread around the globe. I refer here to all our ancestors, cousins and the like, to include every species of human-like creature that evolved after we split from the common ancestor we share with chimpanzees and bonobos. As soon as our species made its appearance, about 300,000 years ago, everything started to change. In no time, we had become the sole survivor; all others in our extended family swiftly went extinct. We have been exceptionally lucky. Truth is, we shouldn’t be here. 

     Our species, Homo sapiens, has a design fault that should have been the end of us. As our skeletons adjusted to walking upright, our hips became narrower. Then, by a fluke of nature, our brain started to expand, forcing our head to change to make space for all that gray matter. And while changing our head was relatively easy—our skeleton had already shown how bony structures can change quickly—the consequences were significant. Babies with a large head and mothers with narrow hips do not make a good combination. But there is more. Growing a large brain is expensive—so expensive that mothers cannot allow their babies to stay in the womb until that brain is more fully grown. The consequence of this is that our babies are born early; their heads are too large, their brains are too expensive, and their mothers’ birth canals are too narrow for them to be born any later than they are. Thus, the babies are seriously “underbaked.” So underbaked, in fact, it takes them almost two decades to catch up, a time during which they have to rely on others.

So far, the story is not that new. Many have told similar origin stories, but I remained puzzled. Why did natural selection allow our species to get away with producing these useless and needy babies? I soon realized that the design fault that started the problem in the first place also provided its solution. That solution is language. 

As the brain expanded and the head changed shape, the throat did too. The larynx descended, pulling the tongue with it. And that change led to two uniquely human characteristics. One is a high risk of choking on our food and drink, and the other is the ability to mold sounds like no other creature. Sounds we crafted into the language needed to organize our childcare. 

I will argue here that talking and caring for underbaked newborns co-evolved, in an episode of runaway selection initiated by the genetic anomalies we now know spurred our species’ neurological growth. Because here is another surprise. We are the result of a short series of discrete mistakes that made us what we are today. Our descent from other apes in the last few million years or so boils down to a mere handful of genetic and morphological turning points. These small changes incrementally built on each other, as in a multiplayer game in which the outcome is never quite predictable, setting in motion our transformation from tree-swinging apes to chatty apes. 

The picture, in the end, is of an odd species that stumbled into global dominance through a relatively quick succession of simple mistakes. A species forced to speak up, or let its helpless infants perish. 

The Origin of Language tells the story of how we learned to speak and why. It exposes a strong force—natural selection, solving problems by using whatever’s lying around. A strong force that rarely over-delivers. If a simple solution will do the trick, natural selection usually won’t bother with bells and whistles. And so we hone in on the small changes that made a huge difference in our evolutionary history…

…this art of language kicked off an unstoppable process that led, ultimately and for better or for worse, to the global dominance of Homo sapiens. I should emphasize that this is not a report of scientific consensus. We have no consensus, and perhaps never will, because the soft tissue involved in thinking and talking doesn’t fossilize. And because it’s often difficult to test whether a given feature was selected for or was just a “spandrel”—a side effect of something useful. But when you arrange the current puzzle pieces side by side, and apply Occam’s razor, you find a new origin story for our species that was hiding in plain sight...


Beekman, Madeleine (2025). The Origin of Language: How We Learned to Speak and Why Kindle Edition. 
OK, back to Cat:
CHAPTER 8: VOICE

Someone found him in a heap on the side of a country road, his motorcycle yards away. It was one of the worst traumas the community hospital had ever seen. The man was only forty-one. Underneath the mash of bone and flesh that used to be his face, he was struggling to breathe. The nurse tried to intubate him, but getting in through the nose was hopeless. When she attempted to slide the tube down his throat and into his airway, she hit swollen tissue. His heart was beating. His lungs and liver were fine. But if she didn’t open his airway, he was still going to die. 

What he needed was a cricothyrotomy—a “crike.” By slicing a hole in his throat, they could bypass the swelling and feed fresh air to his lungs. The nurse couldn’t do it, so she paged the surgeon on staff. 

Cutting into a human throat is asking for trouble. The blood vessels that feed and drain the brain run through there, along with huge tangles of critical nerves. You also need to dodge the blood vessels and voice box. Cut in the wrong place, or in the wrong way, and you damage a patient for life, maybe render him mute. Or kill him. Most patients who have trouble breathing can be intubated. But most people don’t usually fly off a motorcycle at speed and land directly on their face. The surgeon on call hadn’t done a crike in twenty years. 

Luckily, the community hospital was part of a new program that Vermont was trying out: telemedicine. The surgeon was able to hail a doctor who worked at a Level 1 trauma center at a faraway hospital and turned on the video camera, giving his expert colleague a live close-up of the patient’s gory face and neck. The doctor on the screen agreed it had to be a crike, and it had to be now. Speaking slowly and clearly into his small microphone, he walked the surgeon through the procedure. 

First, find the Adam’s apple on the patient’s throat. Now feel for the next bump, down about an inch.[*1] Between the two is a membrane. That’s your target. 


The patient wheezed, his lips turning blue. 

The country surgeon, feeling as if he were in med school again, focused on the trauma doc’s voice. His left finger found the spot. With his right hand, he brought the scalpel into position, gently touching the razor edge to the skin in the middle of the dying man’s throat. 

Vertical incision. One centimeter deep. 

The skin gave way to the blade, uncovering a slick, fibrous membrane just underneath. 

Now horizontal. 

It was tough and took some pressure, but the doctor’s blade sank through.

Now flip the scalpel. Push the handle in and twist it ninety degrees. 


The membrane opened like a buttonhole in a jacket. Blood oozed around the metal of the scalpel handle and down the sides of the man’s throat. The nurse was ready with the plastic tube, and the surgeon slipped it into the hole as he pulled the scalpel out. 

The man on the table started breathing again, ragged at first, then slow and deep. On a monitor nearby, the numbers started going up: 60 percent oxygen, 70 percent, 80 percent, 85 percent. 

They had no time to celebrate. Now the surgeon needed to relieve the pressure on the patient’s swelling brain. He picked up the drill and bored a hole through the bone. It worked. When the man was stable, they transferred his broken body to the state’s only trauma center, hours away in Burlington. The man would live. 

ORDINARY MAGIC 

It really is like a magic trick. Without moving anything, without building anything, with little more than a skittering of electricity along tiny threads spindling off the ends of cells, your brain tells your throat and mouth to make a sound. With just a few pulses of air, the sound jumps across space to someone else’s ears, and in hardly any time at all—milliseconds—your idea arrives in that person’s brain. 

You didn’t have to show her anything. You didn’t have to pee on a lamppost or wave your hands. And yet you can deliver a dense package of information from an organ inside your body into another person’s body. 

No other animal in the world is able to do this. No dog can teach another dog how to do a crike by barking into a mic from hundreds of miles away. No chimpanzee can make that happen. No whale. Homo sapiens are the only animals, in the entire history of animals, that have managed this phenomenal trick. 

We are the only talking ape. 

We’re so linguistic, in fact, that we’ve even managed to figure out ways to create language without any sound at all. Those among us who aren’t able to hear, or hear less well than most people, can use their hands to make language. Just a few thousand years ago, we even figured out how to make marks to represent the words we make. That means brains can miraculously download ideas into other brains they’d never even met. 

It might seem ridiculous for me to be making such a big deal of this. After all, to speak to another human being is such an ordinary, everyday thing. But it’s not ordinary. Here on Earth, peeing is ordinary. Sweating is ordinary. Moving your body so that another member of your species can see what you’re doing, and maybe even loosely understand what you want, is quite ordinary. So are most animals’ vocalizations—they sing, they squawk, they bark and growl and hiss, conveying rudimentary “messages” that other animals can understand. 

But those messages are usually as simple as a smoke alarm. And they produce simple, automatic responses that are hardwired from birth. Most animals emerge into the world ready to communicate with one another. Puppies already know how to “bow,” hunching down on their forelimbs, to signal that they want to play. No one has to teach them this. Cuttlefish know how to change their color to say they’re angry, rattlesnakes know how to shake their tails, and honeybees know how to perform their strange waggle dances to tell the rest of the hive where the flowers are. 

No other animal has human grammar. They don’t have language. They can’t cook up complex ideas and dump them into each other’s brains simply by swapping around the order of a few sounds. They can’t teach someone how to open up a man’s windpipe with a scalpel and insert a bit of tubing and then drill a hole in his skull to save his life. 

Speaking to someone isn’t ordinary at all. 

And it’s entirely unclear how, or when, our ancestors managed to pull it off. But every living human culture has language. We might have started talking as far back as 1.7 million years ago. Or as recently as 200,000 years. Some think it was only 50,000 years ago, which might as well be yesterday in our evolution…


Bohannon, Cat. Eve: How the Female Body Drove 200 Million Years of Human Evolution (pp. 297-300). (Function). Kindle Edition.
 OK, now let me go back 50 years.
 
Other Senses, Other Worlds
CH 8: Other Ways of Telling

WHETHER WE ARE scientists or lay people, when we think of the possibility of contact with intelligent creatures from another world, one of our first thoughts is: How shall we understand their language? How will they understand ours?

It goes without saying that the modality of expression does not have to be, and rarely is, the same as the modalities of perception. While we human beings perceive the world via sight, hearing, smell, sound, and so on, we communicate with the world vocally. We use many kinds of nonverbal communication also, as do all animals, but our deliberate or voluntary expression is via spoken language.

For this reason—and perhaps also because so many other species also use various kinds of vocal expression—we come to think of it as almost a prerequisite for communication. We usually find an unexpressed assumption that another intelligent being, no matter how totally different its form may be from ours, will express itself vocally, as we do.

This assumption has no merit. Human beings came to the ability to use speech and language because a previously four-legged creature began to run and then to walk on two of its legs only and eventually assumed a completely upright posture. This fortuitous development, causing a rearrangement of the structure of the vocal organs in relationship to each other, became the means by which the production of far more, and more complex, sounds became physically possible. Without the change of posture no change in mental development, of itself, could have produced the complexities of human speech.

Why should we suppose that this happenstance, coinciding as it did with other circumstances that favored brain development (the use of the freed hands and eventual increase in brain volume) to produce the highly refined vocal communication of speech, should also occur in another intelligent organism, formed by an entirely different set of circumstances? In our own world the means of communication are varied beyond belief. Each creature gains from its environment the information it needs and has a means of utilizing that knowledge and conveying whatever information is necessary to further its own purposes.

Almost every one of the senses through which various creatures receive news of their world is also, with modulation, a possible channel for sending out information—for communication. To offer what is to us an exotic example, a creature that receives information via sense organs that monitor infrared radiation might also be able to send messages by giving off heat in varying degrees, or pulses, allowing for sufficient modulation to be useful for communication. All one needs for a symbolic language similar to our own is a system of from fifteen to thirty distinguishable elements in whatever modality, recognizable by touch, smell, electricity, or any other means, that can be arranged in various permutations, as can the letters of our alphabet.

As rich in possibilities for communication as any of the sense modalities may be, however, we wish to elaborate here on a means of communication that is far simpler, and that is grossly underrated by most of us. It is the language of gesture and posture.

On earth such communication systems are highly evolved in monkeys and apes, and form the basis of their capacity to express motivation in individuals and to facilitate social relationships. Without this ability to express mood, monkeys and apes would not be able to engage in the subtle and complicated social interactivities that are a feature of their adaptation.

The fact that for long years human language was considered to be the sine qua non of intelligence, proved to be a handicap when scientific attempts were first made at interspecies communication, especially with chimpanzees. (Advanced work on interspecies communication has also been undertaken with dolphins.) Chimpanzees do have a vocabulary of vocal expressions, and it was probably this that misled early researchers into thinking it might be possible to teach them the sounds and meanings of human speech…
This book was published in 1976. I read a "new release" hardbound copy I'd checked out from my local library. It went out of print in 1989 when the publisher (Stein & Day of NY) BK'd and went out of business. I bought my own hardcopy. You can still find used paper copies on the 'net via 3rd parties, but there are not many. That's a shame. 
I have managed to put together my own complete PDF copy of the Jonas' book, inclusive of the sourcing. I am as yet unable to locate the authors or their estate--assuming that the copyright reverted to them in the wake of Stein & Day's 1989 bankruptcy. I would offer them a copyright license deal to re-publish the book as at least an eBook. It has really aged welll overall. We'll see.
 Next we'll go back to current writing.
 
 
 
I've cited her before as well. Scary smart. 
...“Unique to Earth (as far as we currently know) are dissipative structures also visible from space that are indeed examples of life: these we call cities. Cities provide an interconnected web of lights visible beyond Earth because of the electromagnetic radiation they give off at night. Like storms, they “self”-organize, only under far-from-equilibrium conditions. Hurricanes and cities are formed by some of the same physics: they are both examples of states of organization maintained far from equilibrium. Many things we observe can be explained in terms of the exchange of energy and work to construct organized assemblies of matter. 

Dissipative structures include examples where life exploits the fact that open, far-from-equilibrium systems can locally maintain order. It is necessary that this be true for life as we know it to exist, but it does not explain why life exists. It does not explain the key way in which storms and cities differ. The current Great Red Spot has no memory of the multitude of similar systems that may have preceded it over the several-billion-year history of Jupiter; studying the storm won’t allow us to extract a detailed history of storms that persisted in Jupiter’s past. By contrast, cities are the direct consequence of evolutionary processes that began on Earth more than 3.7 billion years ago, with the gradual acquisition of information leading to the emergence of what we call cellular life, multicellular life, societies with language, and eventually the artifacts of those societies that we call cities. This memory is encoded in the very existence of a city, and you can find evidence of this history by peeling back the different architectural and biological layers much like a palimpsest. Cities do not spontaneously fluctuate into existence because a disequilibrium exists; they require a long causal chain of events—a lineage, as I’ll describe throughout this book—for the universe to construct them. The memory that leads to the construction of a city is acquired over eons via selection; it is not spontaneously self-organized in space, but instead assembled across time. 

As hard as we look, there is no evidence that life violates any of the known laws of physics. But being consistent with known laws of physics does not mean life is explained by those laws. In What Is Life?, Erwin wrote:
Living matter, while not eluding the laws of physics as established up to date, is likely to involve other laws of physics hitherto unknown. 

That was over seventy-five years ago. To this day, despite the efforts of generations of talented scientists, we cannot derive life from the known laws of physics, even if we are pretty sure it must be consistent with them. 
From Atoms to Agents 

You may be wondering what any of the foregoing discussion has to do with the actual experience of being alive. Perhaps it sounds like scientists are focusing on all the wrong problems. The ideas of reproduction, metabolism, entropy, order, etc., while possibly relevant to your or my existence, do not instill in us the visceral sense of what it is to be alive in our day-to-day experience. 

When asked what it is like to be alive, the most characteristic features we humans usually point to are ones related to the concepts of agency and free will. As technical terms these have defied ready definitions or explanations because right now they are based more on our experience of the world than what is captured by our scientific understanding of it. 

Free will is a familiar subject to popular debate, so let’s start there. You probably feel like you have free will. I do too. In fact, I feel like I chose to write this book, and you may feel like you chose to read it. Current popular accounts in physics would claim this cannot be true. For example, Brian Greene, the acclaimed science communicator and string theorist, writes, “The processes of life are molecular meanderings, fully described by physical laws that simultaneously tell a high level of information-based story.” I first came across this quote from his recent book, scrolling through posts on Twitter (now X) while cooking breakfast. What stopped me cold on both fronts (cooking and scrolling, which can be risky when done simultaneously) was not the posting of this quote by a fan of Brian’s book. Instead, it was Brian’s own response. He tweeted back, “Reducing life/ mind to its molecular basis does not in any way diminish life or mind, but rather aggrandizes both: look at the amazing and wonderful things particles can accomplish.” I had seen videos of Brian arguing how physics has no need for free will, and therefore neither should we: current physics provides an elegant enough description of the universe. But could anyone really believe physics at this moment in history provides an ultimate explanation for what and why we are? 

Let’s take a step back to illuminate the conflict between free will and current physics. Free will is generally considered the capacity to act at one’s own discretion, independent of your current state or history. The laws of physics, at least as we understand them now, describe a universe that is fully determined from the beginning. Everything that happens is literally unfolded in the dynamics of elementary particles and fields. Your thoughts and feelings have no impact on reality, let alone you. There’s no room for free will, because everything about you was already determined in the initial state of the universe. End of story. Or is it?”


Life as No One Knows It: The Physics of Life's Emergence by Sara Imari Walker 
'eh? Y'all catchin' my implicit aggregate drift here in light of just the foregoing? A bit more teasing. Dr. Bohannon:
 

Lordy Mercy. 
_____ 
 
LIFE: WHAT IS "IT?" WHY DID IT BEGIN?  HOW DID IT BEGIN? HOW DOES IT PERSIST AND EVOLVE? WHAT ABOUT LIKELY FUTURE(S)?

 
Lots of dots to connect and Venn ovals to overlay.
 
apropos, I must confess to my Gouldian Drunkard's Walk Jones.
[Full House, pp 149-151] … Before presenting the full argument for all of life, I must first explain why a dribble moving in one direction need not represent the directed thrust of causality within a system-but may actually arise as a consequence of entirely random movement among all items within the system. I will then demonstrate, in the next section, that apparent progress in the history of life arises by exactly the same artifact-and that, probably, no average tendency to progress in individual lineages exists at all.

I shall first illustrate the argument as an abstraction-using a classic pedagogical metaphor beloved by teachers of probability. Then I shall provide an intriguing actual case for a lineage of fossils with unusually good and complete data. Since we live in a fractal world of "self-similarity ," where local and limited cases may have the same structure as examples at largest scale, I shall then argue that this particular case for the smallest of all fossils-single-celled creatures of the oceanic plankton-presents a structure and explanation identical with an appropriate account for the entire history of life. Since we can approach these largely unknown plank-without the strong biases that becloud our consideration of life's full history, we can best move to the totality by grasping this self-similar example of oceanic unicells.

The overall directionality in certain kinds of random motion-an apparent paradox to many--can best be illustrated by a paradigm known as the "drunkard's walk." A man staggers out of a bar dead drunk. He stands on the sidewalk in front of the bar, with the wall of the bar on one side and the gutter on the other. If he reaches the gutter, he falls down into a stupor and the sequence ends. Let's say that the sidewalk is thirty feet wide, and that our drunkard is staggering at random with an average of five feet in either direction for each stagger. (See Figure 21 for an illustration of this paradigm); for simplicity's sake-since this is an abstract model and not the real world-we will say that the drunkard staggers in a single line only, either toward the wall or toward the gutter. He does not move at right angles along the sidewalk parallel to the wall and gutter.

Where will the drunkard end up if we let him stagger long enough and entirely at random? He will finish in the gutter-absolutely every time, and for the following reason: Each stagger goes in either direction with 50 percent probability. The bar wall at one side is a "reflecting boundary."8 If the drunkard hits the wall, he just stays there until a subsequent stagger propels him in the other direction. In other words, only one direction of movement remains open for continuous advance-toward the gutter. We can even calculate the average amount of time required to reach the gutter. (Many readers will have recognized this paradigm as just another way of illustrating a preferred result in coin tossing. Falling into the gutter on one unreversed trajectory, after beginning at the wall, has the same probability as flipping six heads in a row [one chance in sixty-four]-five feet with each stagger, to reach the gutter in thirty feet. Start in any other position, and probabilities change accordingly. For example, once the drunkard stands in the middle, fifteen feet from the wall, then three staggers in the same direction [one chance in eight for a single trajectory] put him into the gutter. Each stagger is independent of all others, so pre vicious histories don't count, and you need to know only the initial position to make the calculation.)

I bring up this old example to illustrate but one salient point: In a system of linear motion structurally constrained by a wall at one end, random movement, with no preferred directionality whatever, will inevitably propel the average position away from a starting point at the wall. The drunkard falls into the gutter every time, but his motion includes no trend whatever toward this form of perdition. Similarly, some average or extreme measure oflife might move in a particular direction even if no evolutionary advantage, and no inherent trend, favor that pathway…

8. In more complex cases involving several entities, the wall might be an "absorbing boundary" that destroys any object hitting it. No matter (so long as enough entities are left to play the game--certainly the case with life's history). The important point is that an entity can't penetrate the wall and continue to move in the wall ward direction-whether or not the entity bounces off or gets killed.
MORE ON "NARRATIVE"
 
Cat dwells at considerable length on the adaptive materiality of "narrative"--i.e., "stories." Historically it has been largely the women who pass on and preserve our stories.
 
I still recall a guest trial attorney speaker at my undergrad senoir "Psychology of Law" seminar. He said "he/she with the best story wins."
 
Stories. Narratives. "One death is a tragedy. A million deaths is a statistic."
 
More broadly, as proffered by Simon Blackburn:
 
 
We have to have our "stories."
 
More shortly.

Friday, August 29, 2025

20 years later


In 2005 we were living in Las Vegas, where my wife was the Director of Quality for the Environmental Division of The Shaw Group (SGR), which was based in Baton Rouge (they'd bought her former company The IT Group, which had been running the Nevada Test Site nuclear cleanup initiative). Cheryl spent the entire fall in NOLA and Baton Rouge after the storm, arriving as soon as SGR crews could get into the area. SGR had been named the sole-source Prime Contractor for post-Katrina remediation work. They pumped NOLA out, administered the "blue tarps" re-roofing, and managed the temporary mobile housing assemblages. They worked 16-20 hours a day, 7 days a week, sleeping in SGR's HQ offices early on (there were no vacancies). I saw her for all of 11 days until the week before Christmas.
 
A bit of my subsequent post-Katrina reflections here. I would not be back to NOLA until 2013.

Wednesday, August 27, 2025

Kashyap Pramod Patel: “The shooter has been identified as Robin Westman, a male born as Robert Westman.”

There is only ONE useful reason for identifying this now-dead Minneapolis shooting suspect that way. So MAGA bigots will eagerly take the bait: “if we simply GET RID OF THESE ICKY TRANS FREAKS no more kids will die."
Twitter Mods sanctioned me for posting this stuff.
 
My reaction.
 
Whatever. Time to move on. No time for pissing up a rope with MuskMods.
 
Suffice it to extend my heartbroken sympathy to the victims of this terrible shooting. 

Tuesday, August 26, 2025

“I have the right to do anyting I want to do.”

"I'm the president of the United States."
—Donald Trump, August 26th, 2025 on live TV during his White House cabinet meeting.
I guess we'll see.

Monday, August 25, 2025

Nobel Peace Prize?

 
APROPOS OF WAR & PEACE
 

60 Minutes just re-ran this segment. Palmer Luckey? Anduril Industries?

Personal views

In September 2016, Luckey stated he is a libertarian who had supported Ron Paul and Gary Johnson in past elections. Since then, he has become a prominent fundraiser for the Republican Party and Donald Trump.

In a 2024 interview, Luckey described himself as a "radical Zionist"

Fundraising for Donald Trump

In September 2016, Luckey donated $10,000 to an organization called "Nimble America" with the stated purpose of "educating the community on our ideals of America First, Smart Trade, Legal Immigration, and Ethical Behavior." Luckey offered to match further contributions from r/The_Donald users for 48 hours after the announcement. Luckey later issued an apology, stating on his Facebook page, "I am deeply sorry that my actions are negatively impacting the perception of Oculus and its partners." He stated that he acted independently, not as a representative of Oculus VR. The Wall Street Journal later reported that Luckey had been pressured into making this statement as a condition of employment.

In October 2020, Luckey hosted a fundraiser for Donald Trump at his home in Lido Isle, Newport Beach, with the president in attendance. The fundraiser had tickets ranging from $2,800 per person to $150,000 per couple, and there were gatherings both for and against President Trump in Newport Beach outside during the event.

On June 8, 2024, Luckey co-hosted another fundraiser for Trump at the home of health insurance company co-founder John Word, where donors spent up to $100,000 per person to attend.

Interesting dude. Merits a bit of drill-down. Having just an itch of Sam Bankman-Fried'ish dubiety. The "Nimble America" thingy turns up an immediate dry hole.

"educating the community on our ideals of America First, Smart Trade, Legal Immigration, and Ethical Behavior."

The website is inoperative, a "502 error." Following 2 on Twitter/X and 36 Followers, after nine years. Oh, well...
 
I was hoping to get hip to their take on "Ethical Behavior." Let me guess. Ayn Randian-istas?

Thursday, August 21, 2025

Again, when you need the job done right, send in the women/

Returning from some medical tests at Kaiser today I heard this on NPR/WYPR (MP3 interview below). Way cool. Bought her book (of course). Will be buying my wife her own copy.

 
 
This book rocks. It is scientifically and historically broad and deep, while wickedly funny in repeated measure. 611 pages with copious chapter end-notes. A glorious read.
 
UPDATE
 
Another book find (via @SciAm). Comes out next week.
 
 

When we talk about carbon dioxide, the narrative is almost always that of a modern-day morality play. We hear about gigatons of CO2 emitted, about rising global temperatures and about the dire, unheeded warnings of climate scientists. In these tales, CO2 often seems less like a mute, inert molecule and more like an evil supervillain—a malevolent force that has been plotting for centuries to wreak havoc on our planet and ruin our lives.

But according to science journalist Peter Brannen, that dismal view is far too narrow. In his first book, The Ends of the World, Brannen chronicled Earth’s five major mass extinctions, charting the deep history of our planet’s greatest catastrophes. For his second, The Story of CO2 Is the Story of Everything (Ecco, 2025), he has higher ambitions, taking readers on dizzying jaunts through deep time to reframe our understanding of what may be the most vilified and misunderstood molecule on Earth.

Inspired and informed by conversations with leading planetary scientists, Brannen’s central argument is that CO2 is not merely an industrial pollutant but a key player in the four-billion-year-old drama of life on Earth. It is the molecule that built our planet, forming the global carbon cycle that has regulated climate, shaped geology and powered evolution for eons. He shows how the ebb and flow of atmospheric CO2 across Earth’s vast history has played a role in, yes, practically everything under the sun—from the primordial origins of life to the development of human civilization and our global economic system. From the ancient past to the present day, Brannen makes the case that to understand CO2 is to understand the very fabric of our world…

Wednesday, August 20, 2025

Sunday, August 17, 2025

Oval Office Monday after Alaska


Prior posts of mine on Russia's aggression against Ukraine.
 

Yeah, the internets are alive and well with exasperated multimedia snark.
 CODA 

Thursday, August 14, 2025

August 15th, 2025 Summit in Alaska

 
POST-SUMMIT UPDATE
  
Hannity: "You said before the interview that in two minutes you would know...What vibe did you get in two minutes?"

Trump: "You know, I always had a great relationship with President Putin. And we would have done great things together in terms of, you know. Their land is incredible. The rare earth, the oil gas — it's incredible. It is the largest piece of land in the world as a nation by far. I think they have 11 timezones if you can believe it, that's big stuff. But we would have done a lot of great things we had the Russia, Russia, Russia hoax which stopped us from doing that. We would have done so great. But we have the greatest — one of the great hoaxes. I mean, there were others like the election itself and as you know, as you covered better than anyone. But it was a rigged election and a horrible thing that took place in 2020. But we would have had a great relationship but we did amazingly well considering — you know, he would look and see what happened, he would think we're crazy with the made up Russia, Russia, Russia hoax. So we had something very important and we had a very good meeting today, but we'll see. I mean it's, you have to get a deal."
Is it too early to start drinking? Hmmm... a prior post.
 
UPDATES
 

 
 
ERRATUM
Reacting to a report that someone in Donald Trump’s entourage who went with him to Alaska left sensitive State Department documents on a public hotel printer, critics of the president pounced on yet another security breach since he took office.

According to a report from NPR on Saturday, Three guests staying at the Hotel Captain Cook, located 20 minutes away from Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson where the Russian and American president were meeting, discovered the documents that included names, meeting times, room locations, phone numbers and other details.

That led Jon Michaels, a professor of law at UCLA who lectures about national security, to explain to NPR, "It strikes me as further evidence of the sloppiness and the incompetence of the administration.You just don't leave things in printers. It's that simple." …
Lordy...

Sunday, August 10, 2025

AI: the Possible vs the Probable

Tristan Harris cuts to The Chase

 
"Wisdom Traditions?" "Philosophy?" Define "philosophy.'"
 
So, I punted to Google's new native "AI" jus' fer grins. BTW, some prior riffs on AI.
 
 
I was pleased by that. "Knowledge" and "Wisdom" differ. The former is necessary but insufficient for the latter. Given that my 1998 grad degree is in "Ethics & Policy Studies," I know just a thing or two about the core elements of "applied philosopy."
 
Another material facet of all of this.
 
Click here.
When Jensen Huang, the chief executive of the chipmaker Nvidia, met with Donald Trump in the White House last week, he had reason to be cheerful. Most of Nvidia’s chips, which are widely used to train generative artificial-intelligence models, are manufactured in Asia. Earlier this year, it pledged to increase production in the United States, and on Wednesday Trump announced that chip companies that promise to build products in the United States would be exempt from some hefty new tariffs on semiconductors that his Administration is preparing to impose. The next day, Nvidia’s stock hit a new all-time high, and its market capitalization reached $4.4 trillion, making it the world’s most valuable company, ahead of Microsoft, which is also heavily involved in A.I.

Welcome to the A.I. boom, or should I say the A.I. bubble? It has been more than a quarter of a century since the bursting of the great dot-com bubble, during which hundreds of unprofitable internet startups issued stock on the Nasdaq, and the share prices of many tech companies rose into the stratosphere. In March and April of 2000, tech stocks plummeted; subsequently many, but by no means all, of the internet startups went out of business. There has been some discussion on Wall Street in the past few months about whether the current surge in tech is following a similar trajectory. In a research paper entitled “25 Years On; Lessons from the Bursting of the Technology Bubble,” which was published in March, a team of investment analysts from Goldman Sachs argued that it wasn’t: “While enthusiasm for technology stocks has risen sharply in recent years, this has not represented a bubble because the price appreciation has been justified by strong profit fundamentals.” The analysts pointed to the earnings power of the so-called Magnificent Seven companies: Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. Between the first quarter of 2022 and the first quarter of this year, Nvidia’s revenues quintupled, and its after-tax profits rose more than tenfold.

The Goldman paper also provided a salutary history lesson...

MORE ON AGI CONCERNS
 

There sre now dozens of these critical AGI videos on YouTube alone. 
 
Briefly back to Econ stuff (pertaining to just OpenAI):
 
OpenAI astounded the tech industry for the second time this week by launching its newest flagship model, GPT-5, just days after releasing two new freely available models under an open source license.

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman went so far as to call GPT-5 “the best model in the world.” That may be pride or hyperbole, as TechCrunch’s Maxwell Zeff reports that GPT-5 only slightly outperforms other leading AI models from Anthropic, Google DeepMind, and xAI on some key benchmarks, and slightly lags on others.

Still, it’s a model that performs well for a wide variety of uses, particularly coding. And, as Altman pointed out, one area where it is undoubtedly competing well is price. “Very happy with the pricing we are able to deliver!” he tweeted.

The top-level GPT-5 API costs $1.25 per 1 million tokens of input, and $10 per 1 million tokens for output (plus $0.125 per 1 million tokens for cached input). This pricing mirrors Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro basic subscription, which is also popular for coding-related tasks. Google, however, charges more if inputs/outputs cross a heavy threshold of 200,000 prompts, meaning its most consumption-heavy customers end up paying more…
"Tokens?"
 

 Lordy. Wafts of the Crypto bamboozlement ensue.
 
UPDATE
Much of the euphoria and dread swirling around today’s artificial-intelligence technologies can be traced back to January, 2020, when a team of researchers at OpenAI published a thirty-page report titled “Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models.” The team was led by the A.I. researcher Jared Kaplan, and included Dario Amodei, who is now the C.E.O. of Anthropic. They investigated a fairly nerdy question: What happens to the performance of language models when you increase their size and the intensity of their training? ...
From The New Yorker by Cal Newport. Interesting piece. GPT 5 is getting a lot of pushback. 
 
MORE CONSIDERATIONS
 
Chapter 1 
The Artificial Intelligence of the Ethics of Artificial Intelligence  
An Introductory Overview for Law and Regulation  

Joanna J. Bryson 

For many decades, artificial intelligence (AI) has been a schizophrenic field pursuing two different goals: an improved understanding of computer science through the use of the psychological sciences; and an improved understanding of the psychological sciences through the use of computer science. Although apparently orthogonal, these goals have been seen as complementary since progress on one often informs or even advances the other. Indeed, we have found two factors that have proven to unify the two pursuits. First, the costs of computation and indeed what is actually computable are facts of nature that constrain both natural and artificial intelligence. Second, given the constraints of computability and the costs of computation, greater intelligence relies on the reuse of prior computation. Therefore, to the extent that both natural and artificial intelligence are able to reuse the findings of prior computation, both pursuits can be advanced at once.

Neither of the dual pursuits of AI entirely readied researchers for the now glaringly evident ethical importance of the field. Intelligence is a key component of nearly every human social endeavor, and our social endeavors constitute most activities for which we have explicit, conscious awareness. Social endeavors are also the purview of law and, more generally, of politics and diplomacy. In short, everything humans deliberately do has been altered by the digital revolution, as well as much of what we do unthinkingly. Often this alteration is in terms of how we can do what we do—for example, how we check the spelling of a document; book travel; recall when we last contacted a particular employee, client, or politician; plan our budgets; influence voters from other countries; decide what movie to watch; earn money from performing artistically; discover sexual or life partners; and so on. But what makes the impact ubiquitous is that everything we have done, or chosen not to do, is at least in theory knowable. This awareness fundamentally alters our society because it alters not only how we can act directly, but also how and how well we can know and regulate ourselves and each other. 

A great deal has been written about AI ethics recently. But unfortunately many of these discussions have not focused either on the science of what is computable or on the social science of how ready access to more information and more (but mechanical) computational power has altered human lives and behavior. Rather, a great deal of these studies focus on AI as a thought experiment or “intuition pump” through which we can better understand the human condition or the nature of ethical obligation. In this Handbook, the focus is on the law—the day-to-day means by which we regulate our societies and defend our liberties …


Dubber, Markus D.; Pasquale, Frank; Das, Sunit (2020). Oxford Handbook of Ethics of AI (OXFORD HANDBOOKS SERIES) (Function). Kindle Edition.  
Just delving into this. Pretty interesting, right off. 
 
TOBY ORD INTERVIEW
 

 I've cited Toby Ord before.
 
ETHICS OF AI, ANOTHER CITE
Every task we apply our conscious minds to—and a great deal of what we do implicitly—we do using our intelligence. Artificial intelligence therefore can affect everything we are aware of doing and a great deal we have always done without intent. As mentioned earlier, even fairly trivial and ubiquitous AI has recently demonstrated that human language contains our implicit biases, and further that those biases in many cases reflect our lived realities. In reusing and reframing our previous computation, AI allows us to see truths we had not previously known about ourselves, including how we transmit stereotypes, but it does not automatically or magically improve us without effort. Caliskan, Bryson, and Narayanan discuss the outcome of the famous study showing that, given otherwise-identical resumes, individuals with stereotypically African American names were half as likely to be invited to a job interview as individuals with European American names. Smart corporations are now using carefully programmed AI to avoid implicit biases at the early stages of human resources processes so they can select diverse CVs into a short list. This demonstrates that AI can—with explicit care and intention—be used to avoid perpetuating the mistakes of the past. 

The idea of having “autonomous” AI systems “value-aligned” is therefore likely to be misguided. While it is certainly necessary to acknowledge and understand the extent to which implicit values and expectations must be embedded in any artifact, designing for such embedding is not sufficient to create a system that is autonomously moral. Indeed, if a system cannot be made accountable, it may also not in itself be held as a moral agent. The issue should not be embedding our intended (or asserted) values in our machines, but rather ensuring that our machines allow firstly the expression of the mutable intentions of their human operators, and secondly transparency for the accountability of those intentions, in order to ensure or at least govern the operators’ morality. 

Only through correctly expressing our intentions should AI incidentally telegraph our values. Individual liberty, including freedom of opinion and thought, are absolutely critical not only to human well-being but also to a robust and creative society. Allowing values to be enforced by the enfolding curtains of interconnected technology invites gross excesses by powerful actors against those they consider vulnerable, a threat, or just unimportant. Even supposing a power that is demonstrably benign, allowing it the mechanisms for technological autocracy creates a niche that may facilitate a less-benign power—whether through a change of hands, corruption of the original power, or corruption of the systems communicating its will. Finally, who or what is a powerful actor is also altered by ICT, where clandestine networks can assemble—or be assembled—out of small numbers of anonymous individuals acting in a well-coordinated way, even across borders.

Theoretical biology tells us that where there is greater communication, there is a higher probability of cooperation. Cooperation has nearly entirely positive connotations, but it is in many senses almost neutral—nearly all human endeavors involve cooperation, and while these generally benefit many humans, some are destructive to many others. Further, the essence of cooperation is moving some portion of autonomy from the individual to a group. The extent of autonomy an entity has is the extent to which it determines its own actions. Individual and group autonomy must to some extent trade off, though there are means of organizing groups that offer more or less liberty for their constituent parts.
[Dubber, et al, Ch 1.]  
A lot to consider in this book.